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Prediction markets
8 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Crude Oil all time high by...?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$1.55M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$121
60 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 6?
<150
81%
150-174
54%
3 more
$113K
Vol.
Jul 12
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
58 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
30%
chance
Yes
No
$271K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$84
59 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
99%
5 more
$737K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
57%
chance
Yes
No
$127K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$44
43 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
82%
December
42%
5 more
$10K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
37 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
20-40
99%
0-20
45%
3 more
$62K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
45%
chance
Yes
No
$1.5K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
39 trading now
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